Necessity is the Mother

by C.V. Abacus

From Hidden Passage, the Journal of Glen Canyon Institute
Volume V


"Art imitates Nature, and Necessity is the Mother of Invention."

                                                                      - Richard Franck,
                                                                      Northern Memoirs, London, 1694


Over seventy-seven years ago, Secretary of Commerce Herbert Hoover and seven state Commissioners caused the colorado river compact to be "(d)one at Santa Fe, New Mexico, the twenty-fourth day of November, a.d., One thousand nine hundred and twenty-two." The introduction of that short document, eleven articles of approximately 2000 words on eight pamphlet-sized pages, follows:

The States of Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming, having resolved to enter into a compact under the Act of the Congress of the United States of America approved August 19, 1921 (42 Statutes at Large, Page 171) and the Acts of the Legislatures of the said States, have through their Governors appointed as their Commissioners:

W. S. Norviel, for the State of Arizona
W. F. McClure, for the State of California
Delph E. Carpenter, for the State of Colorado
J. G. Scrugham, for the State of Nevada
Stephen B. Davis, Jr., for the State of New Mexico
R. E. Caldwell, for the State of Utah
Frank C. Emerson, for the State of Wyoming

who, after negotiations participated in by Herbert Hoover appointed by The President as the representative of the United States of America, have agreed upon the following articles …,"

summarized below:

Article I: Major purposes; division into two basins.

Article II: Definitions: Colorado River System; Colorado River Basin; States of the Upper Division; States of the Lower Division; Lee Ferry ("a point in the main stream of the Colorado River one mile below the mouth of the Paria River"); Upper Basin; Lower Basin; and domestic use ("shall include the use of water for household, stock, municipal, mining, milling, industrial and other like purposes, but shall exclude the generation of electrical power").

Article III: Apportionment

Article IV: Navigation

Article V: Cooperative data collection and reporting.

Article VI: Handling of claims or controversies.

Article VII: Obligations to Indian Tribes.

Article VIII: Present perfected rights.

Article IX: States’ legal guarantees.

Article X: Contract termination.

Article XI: How the compact becomes binding and obligatory.

The focus of this discourse will be upon the language in Article III (d): "The States of the Upper Division will not cause the flow of the river at Lee Ferry to be depleted below an aggregate of 75,000,000 acre feet [75 maf] for any period of ten consecutive years reckoned in continuing progressive series beginning with the first day of October next succeeding the ratification of this compact."

An evaluation of the compact may be found in a 1926 Harvard PhD. thesis by Reuel Leslie Olson entitled The Colorado River Compact. A hard-to-find reference work that is invaluable regarding these topics is Milton N. Nathanson’s Updating the Hoover Dam Documents (Denver: Bureau of Reclamation; 1978, 1980).

According to Nathanson, the Colorado River Storage Project Act (CRSP, of 1956), which authorized the construction of Glen Canyon Dam, provides that one of two major functions of the Project Storage Units is "(t)o regulate streamflows so that water commitments to the Lower Basin can be met in dry periods without curtailment of development of water uses apportioned to the Upper Basin."

A concern promulgated by III (d) and CRSP is whether Glen Canyon Dam is necessary to meet the commitment of delivering 75 maf, or is the Colorado River capable of guaranteeing that delivery naturally. Of course, this is an overly-simplistic view of the Compact and the Law of the River. But my attempt, here, is microscopic in intent. There are untold possible variations in data analysis; mine is but one.

Other important and mandatory publications, listed in the spread-sheet to develop the graph, are the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) series of Water Supply Papers (WSP), Surface Water Supply of the United States, Part 9, Colorado River Basin. These list the data collected from gages along the Colorado River and its tributaries. The Water Resources Data for Arizona, Part 1, Surface Water Records succeeded the WSPs from 1971 to 1974 and are then continued from 1975 on as Water Resources Data for Arizona, Water Year 1975, az-75-1; the National Technical Information Service (ntis) also supplies copies under their own numbers, usgs/wrd/hd-. Other states in the basin have similar documents, but for the purpose of this discussion, Arizona’s is the only one needed.

In Water Year (WY) 1952 (WSP 1243), the USGS began reporting runoff in acre-feet for "Colorado River at Compact point, near Lees Ferry, Ariz." Under Remarks they state: "This point on the Colorado River is the dividing point between the Upper Basin and Lower Basin, as defined in the Colorado River Compact of 1922." The Compact defined "Lee Ferry," which correlates directly as "Compact point." Under Determination of discharge: "There is no gage. Monthly and yearly discharge computed as the sum of flow at stations on Colorado River and Paria River at Lees Ferry, Ariz." Complete year records for the Colorado River began with WY 1922; for the Paria River, WY 1925. The graph shows acre-feet added from the Colorado and Paria rivers from WY 1925 through WY 1962. [Even without the Paria gage, the Colorado River’s annual delivery was 16.28 maf, 16.24 maf, and 12.5 maf respectively in Water Years 1922 through 1924.]

annualgraph.jpg (307818 bytes)

From WSP 1925, WY 1961-65, for gage "Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, Ariz.": "Remarks.--Reservoir is formed by concrete-arch gravity dam; storage began Mar. 13, 1963; dam completed in September 1963… Reservoir is used… to meet downstream requirements under the Colorado River Compact of 1922." Beginning with WY 1963, wsp’s reported the acre-feet storage change in Lake Powell. Thus, the graph totals volume from the Colorado River at Lees Ferry, the Paria River at Lees Ferry, and the change in storage volume at Lake Powell, or the amount of water delivered to Lee Ferry/Compact Point.

WSP 1119, WY 1948, and succeeding reports list "Transmountain diversions from Colorado River Basin above Lees Ferry." Those have not been charted here, as that is the scope of another evaluation; but they vary from 150,000 to over 500,000 acre feet, not an unimportant amount. However, it is interesting to note the following:

"In Colorado, the following twenty-one tunnels or ditches, which are equipped with water stage recorders, are the total transmountain diversions from the Colorado River Basin. Records furnished by State engineer."

"In Utah there are 17 transmountain diversions from the Colorado River Basin to the Great Basin and one from the Great Basin to the Colorado River Basin. Records have been collected on only the following of these diversions [Strawberry tunnel]."

"There are no transmountain diversions from the Colorado River Basin above Lees Ferry in the States of Wyoming, New Mexico, and Arizona."

Remember that the Compact calls for delivery of 75 maf in any ten year period not 7.5 maf per year, as is most commonly stated. However, graphs are presented here for both sets of data to show that even though the River does not always deliver 7.5 maf annually, it has always, in recorded time, delivered the 75 maf ten-year total called for in the Compact. Lines have been drawn on both graphs showing these amounts as well as 8.23 maf and 82.3 maf deliverables.

The 1944 Mexican Water Treaty calls for 1.5 maf annual delivery to Mexico, split between the Upper and Lower basins. This .75 maf half, added to the 7.5 maf might appear to make the Upper Basin’s amount be 8.25 maf. However, .02 maf of the Paria River’s annual average has been subtracted, leaving 8.23 maf. "However, the Basin states do not agree that this calculation is the reason for the 8.23 number, since it infers a perpetual sharing of half the Mexican treaty obligation—the Upper Basin states believe that there is ample water in Lower Basin tributaries to take care of all treaty obligations." [Personal communication, R. Peterson, Bureau of Reclamation, 01/24/2000.]

One might think that this calculated figure might be why that number was chosen. Regardless of how it was determined, the 8.23 maf is a "Long-Range Operating Criterion" minimum annual release objective; the minimum release has occurred in about half the years since the dam was closed in 1963." [Operation of Glen Canyon Dam, Final Environmental Impact Statement, Summary, March 1999, 17-18.]

For the 38 year period of gage records, WY 1925 through WY1962, at Compact Point/Lee Ferry, prior to the regulation of the Colorado River by Glen Canyon Dam, the Colorado and Paria rivers naturally delivered over 7.5 maf from the Upper Basin to the Lower Basin in 31 of those years, or 82% of the time. In no ten-consecutive-year period did the River fail to deliver an aggregate of 75 maf of water as required by the Compact, with the lowest being just under 100 maf.

For the 36 year period of gage records, WY 1963 through WY 1998, at Compact Point/Lee Ferry, after the regulation of the Colorado River by Glen Canyon Dam, the Paria River naturally delivered and the Colorado River unnaturally delivered over 7.5 maf from the Upper Basin to the Lower Basin in 27 of those years—75% of the time. Once again, in no ten consecutive year period did the River fail to deliver an aggregate of 75 maf of water as required by the Compact, with the lowest being just under 87 maf.

Since the regulation of the Colorado River by Glen Canyon Dam, the annual rate of 7.5 maf of deliverable water has dropped from 82% to 75% (in the 70-year period of concern here, it has been just over 77%).

[Might it be inferred that the construction of the dam has decreased the River’s ability to deliver 7.5 maf annually?]

In conclusion, regarding just Article III (d) of the Colorado River Compact, it appears that through WY 1998, Glen Canyon Dam has been an unnecessary project in order to guarantee deliverable water from the Upper Basin to the Lower Basin: The Colorado River has, so far, been able to deliver its own water with out man’s assistance.